Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000647 0.000741 0.000840 0.000953 0.001077 0.001210 0.001362
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000491 0.000619 0.000764 0.000940 0.001147 0.001381 0.001664
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000401 0.000540 0.000706 0.000917 0.001176 0.001479 0.001857
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000344 0.000492 0.000677 0.000920 0.001228 0.001600 0.002078
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000304 0.000458 0.000657 0.000930 0.001284 0.001723 0.002300
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000259 0.000411 0.000617 0.000907 0.001294 0.001786 0.002447
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000220 0.000369 0.000578 0.000880 0.001296 0.001835 0.002574
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000195 0.000343 0.000558 0.000877 0.001327 0.001922 0.002749
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000174 0.000321 0.000540 0.000876 0.001358 0.002008 0.002925
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000153 0.000297 0.000518 0.000865 0.001374 0.002071 0.003071
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000134 0.000272 0.000492 0.000847 0.001378 0.002119 0.003195
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000125 0.000264 0.000491 0.000865 0.001435 0.002239 0.003422
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000115 0.000254 0.000488 0.000880 0.001489 0.002359 0.003653
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000101 0.000234 0.000466 0.000864 0.001494 0.002410 0.003788
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000087 0.000214 0.000442 0.000844 0.001492 0.002448 0.003906
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000203 0.000433 0.000846 0.001524 0.002536 0.004095
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000073 0.000195 0.000428 0.000855 0.001566 0.002641 0.004312
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000179 0.000406 0.000834 0.001558 0.002669 0.004416
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000162 0.000383 0.000809 0.001544 0.002686 0.004503
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000153 0.000373 0.000806 0.001565 0.002758 0.004674
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000145 0.000365 0.000805 0.001588 0.002833 0.004849
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000135 0.000351 0.000794 0.001595 0.002881 0.004985
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000125 0.000335 0.000778 0.001590 0.002912 0.005093